I have a load of things to watch for this week. I will add them to the blog tomorrow morning after I present a majority of them in my Price Patterns class. Until then, if you have things you are watching, post them here. This can be a catch all for things to watch for the week. I had a project dumped on me today, this is why I have only contributed twice today. Tomorrow looks much better for contributions.
Until then...
Is anyone out there bearish on the market?
A repost from earlier:
EAT - flag breakout on strong volume. Roughly a $6 move depending on how you measure it.
BIG - i love this one. earnings are only 10 days away, but a nice ascending triangle breakout on a $21.50 stock on MASSIVE volume.
CAL - nice diagonal trendline bounce on a solid stock.
PTR - Huge 6-month symmetrical triangle break today with a serious $33 expected move! Been waiting a while for the break and it came today, but beware of the light volume. Risk/rewardwise you won't find a better trade.
PLCM - like the ascending triangle break also on light volume though.
I want to point out that several trades I've passed on due to lack of strong volume turned out to be phenomenal, so I've changed my personal rule to this: When you can get in close to your perceived support and your target is a good one, take the risk. Here, you're looking at a $3 move on a $27.50 stock which is over 10% and your exit is only 50 cents away.
Posted by Anonymous | 11/06/2006 04:32:00 PM
mrk - bullflag confirmation and earnings done and gone.
esrx - positioned to fall again.
pcu- ascending triangle and a break today to a new 52 week high.
ati - support bounce close to new 52 wk high.
bni - support bounce.
happy trading
Posted by Anonymous | 11/06/2006 05:07:00 PM
Brett,
I just posted a comment but it didn't take for some reason. This one will be short and to the point. Concerning the volume of PLCM, it's fantastic! I would like to take credit for this tip but I can't. Jeff showed this to us in a webinar I watched last week.
Put your horizontal cursor on the top of today's (Monday) volume bar. Follow it back across the past 6 months. You will see it is greatly above the normal volume height of most of the bars. The last 3 weeks of average volume was skewed to an extreme high because of the recent volume spikes.
I hope this helps confirm your trade.
Thanks again, Tim
Posted by Anonymous | 11/06/2006 08:24:00 PM
Brett,
To coin a phrase from "Rudy" the stocks you posted " ...are the most beatiful sight these eyes have seen".
Try
COLM, retail sector with a nice support bounce.
DSL, Sym triang waiting.
Thanks for the ideas.
Brian K
Posted by Anonymous
Posted by Anonymous | 11/06/2006 08:30:00 PM
Brian,
COLM is sweet!
Try this on for size:
MS - Finacial Sector (strong uptrend), Flag breakout, average volume.
Later,
Tim
Posted by Anonymous | 11/06/2006 10:04:00 PM
I'm not really feeling bearish, but TV commentators are saying the market looks "toppy". How do you tell that?
Thanks Jeff
Posted by Debbie Davis | 11/07/2006 07:19:00 AM
DOES IT LOOK TOPPY TODAY???
LOL!!
some more trades for you:
FFIV - flag breakout.
KLAC - ascending triangle breakout.
what do you guys see on COLM? I was playing this as a failed symmetrical triangle.
Posted by Anonymous | 11/07/2006 10:57:00 AM
Brett,
I'm having a tough time see the symetrical triangle. I do see COLM trying to break it's 52wk high (2-3 times). So, it might be worth watching for that breakout.
-M
Posted by Anonymous | 11/07/2006 11:36:00 AM
COLM, I guess the sym triang failed on 10/23 with the close of the day. I am trading the channel (sloppy at that) with a position starting with an entry on 11/6 @ 55 with a target of around 60. 58 could prove to be a barrier and I am betting on the holiday season to be strong. You are right 10% potential could very well be only 5.5%.
Good luck,
Brian K
Posted by Anonymous | 11/07/2006 11:43:00 AM
COLM - I saw the consolidating channel heading back to support also. Last night, I was all gun-ho on this one until I saw the $0.50 spread between the bid and the ask. That cooled my jets and I didn't get in. I'm trying to keep the spreads to under $0.40. It seems like I heard that from some instructor but I don't know who. What's Jeff's theory on that?
Tim
Posted by Anonymous | 11/07/2006 06:10:00 PM
COLM,
You could also say since 10/19 colm made a lower low and 11/7 action created a tombstone for a bearish sign. Am I correct on this?
Brian K
Posted by Anonymous | 11/08/2006 08:07:00 AM
Tim- A $.30 cent spread is normally all I can stomach. Outside of that I better have an awesome reward in mind.
Posted by Option Addict | 11/09/2006 11:40:00 AM