Crazy
I wanted to get a new thread started here early. I am in the process of doing this weeks research and putting together my watchlists. If the market is able to hold onto these gains, there are going to be a lot of great bullish set-ups this week.
I'll post some charts here on the next post. If you have any good looking ideas, feel free to share them.
Be prepared for a great week. I can feel it, this week will be a great one.
Jeff,
GOOG is still a great play. I think AAPL looks good. And I know no one wants to mess with this one, but CME I think (with news) will head up. Just some ideas.
KIM and LCC puts still moving in the right direction.
Randall and Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 09:36:00 AM
Thanks Coach K (forget the Duke guy...your better). You really got me fired up for the week with that last line.
I know the water trans has had some popular set-ups on the board. I entered NAT on the bounce off support. Then the icing on the cake was the HUGE volume as it made a new high. The mid-point of Fridays candle looks like a good time to add.
Jamie
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 09:37:00 AM
I also continue to like DE. I have it breaking out of ASC triangle on 6/14...re-test and hold support and now start moving up. You also can see the Asc trinagle on the weekly chart. Don't multiple time frames add confirmation ?
Jamie
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 09:53:00 AM
Thanks Jeff
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 10:08:00 AM
Jeff,
Thanks for all your hard work. It's appreciated. This is a nice trading day. Puts on BSC, KIM, & Pay are going down ...AND... calls on AAPL, GRMN, and POT are going up. What more could a trader ask for!
Dan and Barbara
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 10:15:00 AM
WDC bouncing today.
Posted by Mike | 6/25/2007 10:20:00 AM
CLF looks to be coming up from multiple support level but the options are expensive (hi vol now). I'm thinking of selling a put. Anyone care to comment on this idea and/or stock?
Posted by Doji Girl | 6/25/2007 10:21:00 AM
MLM
Looks like a good re-entry, it's as close to consolidating as you could expect from MLM.
Liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 10:26:00 AM
OOOOooooo. Danger, danger, Doji Girl . Actually, you're right, the options are really expensive... perfect time to sell. The July $75s are going for $1.73 right now. Three and a half weeks and the stock is almost $5 above that level. Seems to me like it could be good play. I'd consider one just for the experience.
Posted by Chris and Catherine | 6/25/2007 10:34:00 AM
CLF options are expensive because it's a major takeover target, and the IV is sky high. How do we combat this? We buy ITM options.
Consider the prior high of $90 and the pullback to the trendline here and you've got a really explosive potential move ahead of you.
Posted by Brett | 6/25/2007 10:37:00 AM
Brett,
I didn't know about takeover possibility. I was actually thinking of selling the 80 put for $4+ for 3 weeks, not the 75, but will look at the ITM options.
Posted by Doji Girl | 6/25/2007 10:41:00 AM
BOOM - breaking asc triangle, wait for end of day
BWLD - trend bounce
COL - trend bounce
FWLT - trend bounce
STR - trend bounce
GRMN - nuf said
PH - bounce
MMM - sym triangle near apex
Still hunting for bearish plays
Posted by Mike | 6/25/2007 10:55:00 AM
OK, forget what I said earlier about KOMG.
Posted by Tim | 6/25/2007 10:55:00 AM
for a bearish play take a look at UAUA low risk right now
MBI just broke down
BAC i like as well
Posted by DavidS | 6/25/2007 11:03:00 AM
Hello all you crazy poetry writing addicts here is an idea or two:
Even if you are all Vimpled out, VIP looks like a nice entry or re-entry (re).
Appl- It looks like a pennant, and a spring about ready to uncoil???? Good entry for me.
CTV - Still haunting me because I am incapable of controlling my emotions and I am out. Maybe a bit extended but I like it still.
Nice bounce for DVR.
SBUX looks like it is headed for zero. But may have paused for an entry?
Posted by The Artist Formerly Known as ARTY | 6/25/2007 11:12:00 AM
I am thinking that maybe UA maybe headed the next leg down.
Cheers,
CC
Posted by The Artist Formerly Known as ARTY | 6/25/2007 11:19:00 AM
But I love Starbuck's.
(laughter)
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 11:25:00 AM
CP........
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 11:27:00 AM
Brett, agreed on CLF. I am long with ITM's. I like the potential move.
SU support bounce. I like these as 90 to 100 plays. FWLT will continue to reward. VIP continues to be the most confounding thing I have ever traded. I have Oct options on VIP. As Brett and Jeff say buy time. If I had shorter term options on VIP I'd be wearing a neck brace by now.
Long GOOG, GRMN, FWLT, VLO, VIP, MICC, DVN, CLF, PCU, MHK, NAT
Short ALB,AMAG (don't forget this one), DNA, NYX, WYNN
Jamie
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 11:51:00 AM
Michelle,
I know what you mean. I am sitting here in front of my screens drinking my 6th cup of SBUX Verona in my favorite SBUX mug. Ironically, I am getting ready to go to the Gym (Because if I can't see the charts I can't emotionally sell my BEAV positions today), and I am wearing my UA shorts. Moreover, I am wearing my Crox (which I took over 200% profit on a few weeks back) pre and post-gym footwear.
I love them all, but they all say SHORT to me.
Cheers,
CC
Posted by The Artist Formerly Known as ARTY | 6/25/2007 11:52:00 AM
Michelle,
Clarification, I would not take a position in CROX right now, until there is an actual downtrend, and sell signal, and a confirmation.
I was just sort of on a roll on that last submission.
Cheers,
Posted by The Artist Formerly Known as ARTY | 6/25/2007 11:54:00 AM
Raimo,
CP very interesting. I like where you are going with this.
Long: All things Canadian eh
Cheers
Posted by The Artist Formerly Known as ARTY | 6/25/2007 11:57:00 AM
Jamie,
I don't see a lot of potential in AMAG. It looks to me like there's some pretty strong support at just above $55. I wouldn't be surprised to see it play in this range for quite a while.
David S. I like LCC better thank UAUA as a put play in this industry. United is a much stronger airline (sorry, Tim) and I see it more as a bounce off it's bottom right now (something I do by the pool... on the diving board.)
Posted by Chris and Catherine | 6/25/2007 11:59:00 AM
KND looks like it may break down through a long term support line and a H&S top. Not seeing the volume though. 5 month pattern with about a $6 target. Could retrace to 25. Slow mover.
Posted by Mike | 6/25/2007 12:03:00 PM
Chris and Catherine the reason I chose UAUA VS LCC is that Lcc is over extended a bit. UAUA has a clear exit signal and target.
Thank you for your input.
also tale a look at fcx for a possible bounce and break of the flag pattern
you have to love BSC
Posted by DavidS | 6/25/2007 12:07:00 PM
WWOOAAAHHHH!!!! What's going on with the market? Took a five minute break to put a last coat of paint on the supports for the arch and the Dow has dropped from 108 to 49 points!
Posted by Chris and Catherine | 6/25/2007 12:14:00 PM
Whoa BSC is tanking.
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 12:16:00 PM
This market is sooooo crazy today!
The VIX keeps moving up and now the stocks are going down down down. Except KOMG. I'm so glad I'm not in that one anymore.
liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 12:38:00 PM
Wow, just like the dueling dragons rollercoaster ride at universal..
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 12:48:00 PM
KOMG is breaking resistence and is moving higher on heavy volume!!! I am glad I bought that CALL option and stuck with my plan. Patience can pay off.
Oh WAIT!!!
I bought a PUT option and got stuck BY my plan. Please forget the earlier happy paragraph.
This thing is way past my mental stop. Should have gotten out first thing today but when it went -.39 on decent volume I was encouraged... now I am discouraged. Decision is to get out now or hope for a retracement. I have until September. But, my curse is that I will get out and then the stock will turn around and dive down....crash and burn...and had I stayed in....I would have made money. But...if I stay in...I have no doubt the stock will soon hit a new 52 week high. Such is my curse.
Chuck from Orlando
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 12:50:00 PM
OIH-
support at around 175. Been within 175 to 180 for about a week. Good re-entry.
liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 12:53:00 PM
KOMG
I see it approaching resistance ....
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:04:00 PM
This comment has been removed by the author.
Posted by Brett | 6/25/2007 01:09:00 PM
Here we go...S&P testing support on this potential double top. Will it hold?
My guess is that with the Vix at resistance and the S&P at support we should bounce here.
If we don't, and we slice through 1490 i'm going to get extremely bearish very quickly.
Posted by Brett | 6/25/2007 01:10:00 PM
CLF - I chose a naked put @$75 strike last week because of the current choppy market conditions. It was bouncing off of a strong trend support line and the premium was healthy. This strategy gives the underlying stock a chance to move up, sideways, or down a little. If the stock goes up, I'll add with a longer term call position.
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 01:10:00 PM
KOMG...uuuggg BUT wait, I also have 2 BSC put contracts!!! Oh the bitter-sweet of the trading day. Although today is a little more sweet!
KELLY
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 01:16:00 PM
Whoa, went to the movie store and the market moved from 50 up to 30 down and my account moved, too.
What's up with the market lately?
Are we heading into a bear market?
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 01:17:00 PM
what do you guys think of OSK is the bullish trade over? do you think it is still within resistance for a bounce?
thanks
Posted by DavidS | 6/25/2007 01:23:00 PM
This...is the Market on drugs...or maybe it's just Bi-polar!
Too bad all of the other traders don't handle their emotions the way...that we're 'supposed' to!
And VIP is going up in it...amazing... Thanks DG and Brett...I think...!
Posted by Chip | 6/25/2007 01:24:00 PM
I am still bullish....BUT..like Brett...ready to move according to what the charts tell.
I am happy with todays action and my trades thus far..all staying within my trading plan...I did not hit Jeffs Sell button!! LOL....
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:28:00 PM
Anyone else take down SKX?
Anyone else want to?
Posted by Brett | 6/25/2007 01:32:00 PM
I wanted to hit Jeff's sell button a few times.
Though X has finally gone below my exit today. We'll see what it does within the next few minutes.
liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 01:35:00 PM
Double top or double bottom that is the question. Sticking my .02cts ito the issue I think we will have a higher bottom than that 1490 low on 6/7.
Brett, look what the market did on 3/14 and then 3/15 looked like the end of the world...for a couple of hours....
I hear ya that 1490 is key.
Jamie
Posted by Anonymous | 6/25/2007 01:38:00 PM
Brett-
I would like to take down SKX.
liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 01:41:00 PM
Not out of the woods yet...we can still run right down to 1490 the next day or two.....then bounce and move up, or simply crash and burn.
I see it moving back up.....or is that me really just wanting it to go back up??
Got to wait and see what the chart tells...trade and manage accordingly..
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:43:00 PM
Got out of DO with a small profit.
AFL broke my support and I took with a larger loss than I'd like.
RL, VLO and JCOM are still above diag support. JCOM could have a good entry in the next day or so.
Raimo, Brett, I'm still going to be looking for more shorts in the near-term to help diversify...this is wild stuff lately!
Posted by Chip | 6/25/2007 01:48:00 PM
Good Boy Chip.....
Being diversified and being properly positioned is key...all my calls and puts well within my trade plan...
Remember, the market is one thing, your trade(s) is another.
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:52:00 PM
CP..........
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:53:00 PM
new thread-
liz
Posted by liz & grant | 6/25/2007 01:54:00 PM
Brett...
You still in ALB? What about PAY?
I still have both....going short CP...
Posted by Raimo | 6/25/2007 01:56:00 PM