Living In a Bull Flag Paradise
Watching my movers this morning...ICE, BIDU, WYNN, all seem to be working well. Its the ATI, VIP, and a few others that are threatening to slow down. Good thing I don't negotiate with terrorists.
What about the watchlist this week? I have an enormous list so lets get started!
As you know I break them down into two categories. Bounces and breakouts. This is the list of stocks that looked interesting from the thumbnail view...and I have jotted them down for further research. If you find something on this list that you don't like...just remember I haven't looked all that closely either.
Watching For a Bounce
FFIV- Remember this post...click here. I threw this stock out there as an example for a flag trade. The end result is obvious, flags rock. Friday it made a nice bounce after consolidation...keep a close eye on it.
COGN- Getting close to trend support.
AIG- Turning up off trend support today.
AEM- Same thing, sitting on trend support.
CAL- Beautiful bounce off support, might qualify as a breakout by the end of the day.
CTSH- Great stock, waiting for an add point.
VIP- Might be flagging? Would love another ride on the VIP train.
Price Patterns
BJS- Bull Flag. Just waiting for a break.
XTO- Bull Flag, likely to test old resistance at 48 first.
THE- I hate this stock (if you want to revisit why, click here) but I am watching the recent bull flag. Waiting for some "get back" on this stock.
OIS- Hmmm. Another energy stock and another bull flag. It is in the running for "longest flag pole of the day award."
CRDN- Its early...but its flagging.
TALX- I felt like mixing in a symmetrical triangle to keep things interesting. I drew this guy from late October until recently. Friday's candle moved about .20 cents outside my support line, but my crayon approach counted it anyway.
SLG- For anyone that knew me from back around June...I promised that this one would hit its $10 target eventually. This an important lesson for the longer term traders that price targets represent MINIMUMS. Anyway, yes this one is also flagging.
TGT- Symmetrical triangle. Waiting for a break.
SEIC- Symmetrical triangle. Might have to use line charts for this one, but it works.
SLB- Flag
MIL- fLaG
CPA- Flag... Might confirm today
TWGP- Symmetrical Triangle
Bon Apetit'
Don't forget AKAM. I was slow on the draw on this one, but after taking a close look at it this weekend and noticing that at the time, the spread on the OTM $55 Jan call was only $0.05, I bought at the opening and made 15% today. Not as good as if I had gone in when you first recommended it, but I'm happy. I'm a little concerned about ATI and VIP - gave back some profit today, but I'm in January calls on those as well, so we shall see.
John M.
Posted by Anonymous | 12/11/2006 02:25:00 PM
Thanks,for the mention on CAL. I took the trade at the end of the day and was wondering if I was crazy.
How about WYNN and CTRP cha-ching!!!
Sarah
Posted by Anonymous | 12/11/2006 03:25:00 PM
It's amazing how a simple trendline bounce can turn into a breakout. I got CAL last time it bounced in the mid $30's. Just looking for a few points and BOOM, straight up to $45. Then it backed off and BOOM, great day today. Hope it can clear this level and NOT double top!!
Also, CTRP rules. LVS has really underperformed WYNN though. I chose poorly there.
Anyone ride that PTR symmetrical triangle from a month ago? WOW!
Jeff, thanks for posting these watchlists. It's like a tasty afternoon snack.
Posted by Brett | 12/11/2006 03:39:00 PM
I'm not 100% sure, but I beleive MRO and EEM are Bull Flags that have yet to break out.
MRO & EEM has broken a 52Wk high and is retesting the new support (in the form of a Flag).
-Mark M.
Posted by Mark "Q" | 12/11/2006 07:19:00 PM
John,
was a little concerned about ATI myself, got in early and have made a pretty decent profit, dont want to give it back, however, it looks like 96 is providing a pretty good support level, it was down quite a bit today and kind of rallied back, gotta give a little to get a lot, I HOPE, let me know what you think. td
Posted by td | 12/11/2006 07:45:00 PM
Sarah,
what do you have as a price target for CTRP, CTRP does ROCK!!!
td
Posted by td | 12/11/2006 07:48:00 PM
Jeff,
My watchlist from Tues AM:
AXS - symmetrical triangle broke out, tgt of 37.50
SID - possibly sell short, not much in the way of open interest on options beyond DEC
LPNT - Descending Triangle, may be breaking out today, target of 30
MAN - Possibly a flag, but probably a symetrical triangle looking like it's breaking out today. target of 77.25 on triangle, 80 if it can be considered a flag.
SHLD - Symmetrical Triangle breakout yesterday on abt avg volume, but stock still working towards it's long-term goal of reverse Head and Shoulders with ultimate target of 192.
Hope there's something here you didn't already have. It's nice to give a at least a little something back for all the great advice you give all of us!
Thanks-- Cathy
Posted by Anonymous | 12/12/2006 09:45:00 AM