GRMN - Boy you all are making me feel like a wimp!
Lis - I took my trade based on an ascending triangle breakout. My triangle started on 8/1 and confirmed on 9/5 (I took the trade on 9/4 towards the end of the day). $105 breakout price less the $90 price tag on 8/1 gave me my $15 price target.
I see $120 as a logical mental level which is why even if my profit target was $121 or $122 I'd probably still consider $120 as my true target.
I used to use trades twice above/below on TOS but that is gone now. So I use mark now. As for contingent buys how would you set one up for a breakout trade. If say you wanted over $100 in the stock and greater than average volume say 150% for a number?
My target for GRMN is probably a bit longer term at $130ish. Actually I had to go back and look as I was just going to let it run until it runs out of steam.
Kim, I agree with your method of finding a target on GRMN. I think there are two possible targets from the triangle. Either 120 or 130. 130 requires you to take the low back at end of July, which was right before the earnings bump. To me, that earnings run was an anomoly and I didn't want to count on it unless I was willing to hold over the next earnings, which I am not.
I had 120 as my target originally, but then second guessed myself and thought it was too low. I drew a trendline across some of the highs and created a channel which made me think it could probably get up to 122-123.
In retrospect, I think I would be better off with the 120 target and taking my profits as I need to keep things short term and fast. I only have one contract so I can't let it run. Unfortunately, I missed the spike but hopefully we'll get back up there.
Man I am mad at myself for missing the CROX retest. I got alerted to it and everything but hesitated to pull the trigger and missed it when it was around 60.
Tim, I'm thinking along the same lines as you in regards to GRMN. Although my target based upon the triangle drawn on my chart is $125, I too am focusing on shorter term profits in this market so will take mine if we get that spike back up to $120. I only have 1 contract as well, otherwise I would take half and let the rest run.
Jeff, great list again and many are already on my watch list.
Tim, or others, I had a crazy idea or wonderment. Is there a way that Jeffs watchlist could be captured to a link that we could capture and populate our portfolio watch list? When taking the three day online I think the instructor did that once. That would probably be huge for saving us time to allow more time for evaluation of the trades for our own rules. Not that I am lazy (well ok maybe) just a thought.
Jeff- thanks for putting us in front of so many great potential plays. Question for you on RESP. You said you would see RESP as a stock play rather than an option. Why?
Brett. Kudoe's on ICE. I went thru my watch lists and looked at the 10 day charts. Very enlightening. Now putting it into my analysis process. Thanks for sharing.
Michelle, I look at CME more like a topping pattern or a head and shoulders at the top of a rather short uptrend. Either way you look at it, I would just concentrate on that support level at approx. $540 and watch for that to give way. I have made money on that stock before but it scares me because it can move very fast and it is quite pricey to get in.
I am a professional trader and an instructor for Investools. I've had relations with the markets for 9 years. Born in Concord, CA, but reside in Saratoga Springs, Utah. Father of THREE, Husband of one.
Thank you for the great video!!! You are soooooo on top of this as usual!!!! SFM
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:00:00 AM
Posted again from the end of the last blog:
GRMN - Boy you all are making me feel like a wimp!
Lis - I took my trade based on an ascending triangle breakout. My triangle started on 8/1 and confirmed on 9/5 (I took the trade on 9/4 towards the end of the day). $105 breakout price less the $90 price tag on 8/1 gave me my $15 price target.
I see $120 as a logical mental level which is why even if my profit target was $121 or $122 I'd probably still consider $120 as my true target.
Kim
Posted by VA Beach Girl | 9/25/2007 09:04:00 AM
I used to use trades twice above/below on TOS but that is gone now. So I use mark now. As for contingent buys how would you set one up for a breakout trade. If say you wanted over $100 in the stock and greater than average volume say 150% for a number?
My target for GRMN is probably a bit longer term at $130ish. Actually I had to go back and look as I was just going to let it run until it runs out of steam.
Posted by Bob (and Pam) | 9/25/2007 09:04:00 AM
Kim, I agree with your method of finding a target on GRMN. I think there are two possible targets from the triangle. Either 120 or 130. 130 requires you to take the low back at end of July, which was right before the earnings bump. To me, that earnings run was an anomoly and I didn't want to count on it unless I was willing to hold over the next earnings, which I am not.
I had 120 as my target originally, but then second guessed myself and thought it was too low. I drew a trendline across some of the highs and created a channel which made me think it could probably get up to 122-123.
In retrospect, I think I would be better off with the 120 target and taking my profits as I need to keep things short term and fast. I only have one contract so I can't let it run. Unfortunately, I missed the spike but hopefully we'll get back up there.
Posted by Tim | 9/25/2007 09:14:00 AM
Is anybody else not getting any sound from the video?
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:14:00 AM
thanks for keeping us all informed, you've got an optionaddict addict in me.
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:16:00 AM
Jeff, your list is awesome. Houw can anyone go wrong with such a vast list to study!
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:18:00 AM
Man I am mad at myself for missing the CROX retest. I got alerted to it and everything but hesitated to pull the trigger and missed it when it was around 60.
Posted by Tim | 9/25/2007 09:20:00 AM
Tim,
I'm thinking along the same lines as you in regards to GRMN. Although my target based upon the triangle drawn on my chart is $125, I too am focusing on shorter term profits in this market so will take mine if we get that spike back up to $120. I only have 1 contract as well, otherwise I would take half and let the rest run.
Posted by LisaG | 9/25/2007 09:20:00 AM
Okay, you pattern gurus, does AAPL look like a cup and handle?
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:22:00 AM
Jeff, great list again and many are already on my watch list.
Tim, or others, I had a crazy idea or wonderment. Is there a way that Jeffs watchlist could be captured to a link that we could capture and populate our portfolio watch list? When taking the three day online I think the instructor did that once. That would probably be huge for saving us time to allow more time for evaluation of the trades for our own rules. Not that I am lazy (well ok maybe) just a thought.
Oh and the sound worked great for me n the video.
Posted by Bob (and Pam) | 9/25/2007 09:22:00 AM
7/27 to 9/24 that is on AAPL.
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:23:00 AM
Jeff, Bravo your list. Great! Great! Great!
JB, I got in CPSl on Thurs a.m. Diana
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:25:00 AM
Jeff:
Thanks again for the watch list. Your explanations really bring chart reading to life for me.
Krystal:
Be sure and open the video in a new window. This usually works well for me.
Posted by Sam_H | 9/25/2007 09:29:00 AM
I finally opened the video up in my Windows Media Player and I've got sound now...
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 09:31:00 AM
Jeff- thanks for putting us in front of so many great potential plays. Question for you on RESP. You said you would see RESP as a stock play rather than an option. Why?
Kim
Posted by VA Beach Girl | 9/25/2007 09:41:00 AM
Tim,
I hope you were able to nail CROX sometime in the last hour. It was hanging there all morning.
Posted by Brett | 9/25/2007 09:55:00 AM
I know i reco'd LAMR when it was at $51, but today is the confirmed breakdown, if you're bearish.
Posted by Brett | 9/25/2007 10:04:00 AM
Jeff:
Like always perfect set ups.
Thank You
I posted NVT last week, I think it came from Jeff but it is running hard today. Keep an eye on it, for a pull back or take it here with a close eye.
Posted by DavidS | 9/25/2007 10:06:00 AM
Jeff,
Thank you again for the awesome shopping list!
I've got my homework cut out for me for the rest of the day.
Posted by Doji Girl | 9/25/2007 10:08:00 AM
NVT - wow! I was in that with a nice profit which I exited before Fed Day. Now I'm kicking myself for not getting back in. Sigh.
Posted by Doji Girl | 9/25/2007 10:09:00 AM
Haven't had a chance to watch the video yet, but very much looking forward to it!
ELON retesting the breakout level. Possible adding point?? Thoughts?
Posted by LisaG | 9/25/2007 10:42:00 AM
Thanks, Jeff, for the great watchlist.
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 10:43:00 AM
Thanks, Jeff, for the great watchlist.
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 10:43:00 AM
Thanks a bunch for the video. I normally have to watch it a couple a of times.
I also see VRTX at low risk entry pt at 38. Anyway seeing the same.
Posted by JRene | 9/25/2007 11:00:00 AM
Jeff, Great list as always and thank you!
Brett, thanks for LAMR. I did get in at $51 and have a very nice profit.
Posted by Sean M. | 9/25/2007 11:00:00 AM
Does anybody else see CME as a descending triangle about to bust out?
Michelle
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 11:05:00 AM
Brett. Kudoe's on ICE. I went thru my watch lists and looked at the 10 day charts. Very enlightening. Now putting it into my analysis process. Thanks for sharing.
Diana
Posted by Anonymous | 9/25/2007 11:08:00 AM
Michelle,
I look at CME more like a topping pattern or a head and shoulders at the top of a rather short uptrend. Either way you look at it, I would just concentrate on that support level at approx. $540 and watch for that to give way. I have made money on that stock before but it scares me because it can move very fast and it is quite pricey to get in.
Posted by Sean M. | 9/25/2007 11:15:00 AM
From Jeff's list:
DW is breaking out of the symmetrical triangle today.
Kim
Posted by VA Beach Girl | 9/25/2007 11:23:00 AM
DW does seem to be breaking out, just not sure the volume is there.... Will watch this one at the end of the day.
And Clean Cups!
Posted by LisaG | 9/25/2007 11:49:00 AM
Jeff,
Just found your site. The watchlist is awesome! Thanks very much.
Mark
Posted by Anonymous | 9/26/2007 06:15:00 AM